Crime drop

The crime drop or crime decline is a pattern observed in many countries whereby rates of many types of crime declined by 50% or more beginning in the mid to late 1980s and early 1990s.[1]

The crime drop is not a new phenomenon emerging in the 1990s. For Europe, crime statistics show a declining pattern since the late Middle Ages. From the 1960s to the 1980s and 1990s, crime rates rose in all wealthy Western countries before the decline continued.[2] Irrespective of the reason for the increase, this period appears as a relatively short deviation of the long-term decline beginning centuries ago and continuing after the early 1990s.[3]

There is no universally accepted explanation for why crime rates are falling,[2] though many hypotheses have been proposed, especially in the United States.[4] Many proposed explanations (such as increased incarceration rates or the use of leaded gasoline) have only occurred in specific countries, and cannot explain the decrease in other countries.[2] Most crime experts agree that changes in policing or sentencing policies can also be excluded.[2]

  1. ^ Farrell, Graham; Tilley, Nick; Tseloni, Andromachi (September 2014). "Why the Crime Drop?" (PDF). Crime and Justice. 43 (1): 421–490. doi:10.1086/678081. S2CID 145719976.
  2. ^ a b c d Cite error: The named reference tonry-1-2 was invoked but never defined (see the help page).
  3. ^ Cite error: The named reference eisner2008-289f was invoked but never defined (see the help page).
  4. ^ Cite error: The named reference atlantic was invoked but never defined (see the help page).