Disposition effect

The disposition effect is an anomaly discovered in behavioral finance. It relates to the tendency of investors to sell assets that have increased in value, while keeping assets that have dropped in value.[1]

Hersh Shefrin and Meir Statman identified and named the effect in their 1985 paper, which found that people dislike losing significantly more than they enjoy winning. The disposition effect has been described as one of the foremost vigorous actualities around individual investors because investors will hold stocks that have lost value yet sell stocks that have gained value."[2]

In 1979, Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky traced the cause of the disposition effect to the so-called "prospect theory".[3] The prospect theory proposes that when an individual is presented with two equal choices, one having possible gains and the other with possible losses, the individual is more likely to opt for the former choice even though both would yield the same economic result.

The disposition effect can be minimized by a mental approach called hedonic framing, which refers to a concept in behavioral finance and psychology where people perceive and react differently to gains and losses based on how they are presented or "framed." For example, individuals might feel better about a net positive outcome if multiple smaller gains are presented separately rather than as one large gain, or they might prefer to combine losses to reduce the psychological impact.[4]

  1. ^ Weber, Martin; Camerer, Colin (January 1995). "The disposition effect in securities trading: an experimental analysis". Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization. 33 (2): 167–184. doi:10.1016/S0167-2681(97)00089-9. hdl:10419/161406. Retrieved 30 October 2020.
  2. ^ Shefrin, Hersh; Statman, Meir (July 1985). "The Disposition to Sell Winners Too Early and Ride Losers Too Long: Theory and Evidence". The Journal of Finance. 40 (3): 777–790. doi:10.1111/j.1540-6261.1985.tb05002.x.
  3. ^ Kahneman, Daniel; Tversky, Amos (1979). "Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk". Econometrica. 47 (2): 263–291. CiteSeerX 10.1.1.592.6674. doi:10.2307/1914185. ISSN 0012-9682. JSTOR 1914185.
  4. ^ Richard Thaler. "Web Supplement to Chapter 8: Hedonic Framing" (PDF). McGraw-Hill Education. Retrieved 21 October 2024.