A term in demography
Diagram showing sharp birth rate and death rate decreases between Time 1 and Time 4, the congruent increase in population caused by delayed birth rate decreases, and the subsequent re-leveling of population growth by Time 5.
In demography and medical geography , epidemiological transition is a theory which "describes changing population patterns in terms of fertility , life expectancy , mortality, and leading causes of death."[ 1] For example, a phase of development marked by a sudden increase in population growth rates brought by improved food security and innovations in public health and medicine, can be followed by a re-leveling of population growth due to subsequent declines in fertility rates . Such a transition can account for the replacement of infectious diseases by chronic diseases over time due to increased life span as a result of improved health care and disease prevention .[ 2] [ 3] This theory was originally posited by Abdel Omran in 1971.[ 4] [ 5]
^ Santosa A, Wall S, Fottrell E, Högberg U, Byass P (2014). "The development and experience of epidemiological transition theory over four decades: a systematic review" . Global Health Action . 7 : 23574. doi :10.3402/gha.v7.23574 . PMC 4038769 . PMID 24848657 .
^ Mauck, Aaron Pascal. "Managing Care: History of Diabetes in the Twentieth Century". UMI Dissertations. ProQuest 612814971 .
^ Porta, Miquel (2014). A dictionary of epidemiology (Sixth ed.). Oxford University Press. ISBN 9780199976737 .
^ Omran, A. R. (2005) [1971], "The epidemiological transition: A theory of the epidemiology of population change" (PDF) , The Milbank Quarterly , 83 (4): 731–57, doi :10.1111/j.1468-0009.2005.00398.x , PMC 2690264 , PMID 16279965 , archived from the original (PDF) on 2013-04-12 . Reprinted from The Milbank Memorial Fund Quarterly , 49 (4, Pt 1): 509–538, 1971{{citation }}
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^ Wahdan, M. H. (1996). "The epidemiological transition" . Eastern Mediterranean Health Journal . 2 (1): 2.