MELD-Plus

MELD-Plus
Uri Kartoun presenting MELD-Plus at Princeton University, November 2018
PurposeAssess severity of chronic liver disease

MELD-Plus is a risk score to assess severity of chronic liver disease that was resulted from a collaboration between Massachusetts General Hospital and IBM.[1] The score includes nine variables as effective predictors for 90-day mortality after a discharge from a cirrhosis-related admission. The variables include all Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD)'s components, as well as sodium, albumin, total cholesterol, white blood cell count, age, and length of stay.

Because total cholesterol and hospital length of stay are typically not uniform factors across different hospitals and may vary in different countries, an additional model that included only seven of the nine variables was evaluated. This yielded a performance close to the one of using all nine variables and resulted in the following associations with increased mortality: INR, creatinine, total bilirubin, sodium, WBC, albumin, and age.

The development of MELD-Plus was based on using unbiased approach toward discovery of biomarkers. In this approach, a feature selection machine learning algorithm observes a large collection of health records and identifies a small set of variables that could serve as the most efficient predictors for a given medical outcome. An example for a notable feature selection method is lasso (least absolute shrinkage and selection operator).[2]

  1. ^ Kartoun, Uri; Corey, Kathleen E; Simon, Tracey G; Zheng, Hui; Aggarwal, Rahul; Ng, Kenney; Shaw, Stanley Y (2017). "The MELD-Plus: A generalizable prediction risk score in cirrhosis". PLOS ONE. 12 (10): e0186301. Bibcode:2017PLoSO..1286301K. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0186301. PMC 5656314. PMID 29069090.
  2. ^ Zou, Hui (December 2006). "The Adaptive Lasso and Its Oracle Properties". Journal of the American Statistical Association. 101 (476): 1418–1429. CiteSeerX 10.1.1.710.7720. doi:10.1198/016214506000000735. S2CID 13998761.