Multiple districts paradox

A voting system satisfies join-consistency (also called the reinforcement criterion) if combining two sets of votes, both electing A over B, always results in a combined electorate that ranks A over B.[1] It is a stronger form of the participation criterion. Systems that fail the consistency criterion (such as ranked-choice voting or Condorcet methods) are susceptible to the multiple-district paradox, which allows for a particularly egregious kind of gerrymander: it is possible to draw boundaries in such a way that a candidate who wins the overall election fails to carry even a single electoral district.[1]

There are three variants of join-consistency:

  1. Winner-consistency: if two districts elect the same winner A, A also wins in the combined district.
  2. Ranking-consistency: if two districts rank a set of candidates exactly the same way, then the combined district returns the same ranking of all candidates.
  3. Grading-consistency: if two different districts assign a candidate the same overall grade to a candidate, the overall grade for the candidate must still be the same.

A voting system is winner-consistent if and only if it is a point-summing method; in other words, it must be a positional voting system or score voting (including approval voting).[2][3]

As shown below under Kemeny-Young, whether a system passes reinforcement can depend on whether the election selects a single winner or a full ranking of the candidates (sometimes referred to as ranking consistency): in some methods, two electorates with the same winner but different rankings may, when added together, lead to a different winner. Kemeny-Young is the only ranking-consistent Condorcet method, and no Condorcet method can be winner-consistent.[3]

  1. ^ Franceschini, Fiorenzo; Maisano, Domenico A. (2022-06-01). "Analysing paradoxes in design decisions: the case of "multiple-district" paradox". International Journal on Interactive Design and Manufacturing (IJIDeM). 16 (2): 677–689. doi:10.1007/s12008-022-00860-x. ISSN 1955-2505.
  2. ^ Balinski, Michel; Laraki, Rida (2011-01-28). Majority Judgment. The MIT Press. doi:10.7551/mitpress/9780262015134.001.0001. ISBN 978-0-262-01513-4.
  3. ^ a b Young, H. P.; Levenglick, A. (1978). "A Consistent Extension of Condorcet's Election Principle" (PDF). SIAM Journal on Applied Mathematics. 35 (2): 285–300. doi:10.1137/0135023. ISSN 0036-1399. JSTOR 2100667.