Philip E. Tetlock

Philip E. Tetlock
Tetlock at the 2017 World Economic Forum
Born1954 (age 69–70)
Toronto, Ontario, Canada
Alma materUniversity of British Columbia (BA)
Yale University (PhD)
Scientific career
Fieldspolitical forecasting, political psychology, forecasting, decision making
InstitutionsUniversity of Pennsylvania
University of California, Berkeley
Ohio State University

Philip E. Tetlock (born 1954) is a Canadian-American political science writer, and is currently the Annenberg University Professor at the University of Pennsylvania, where he is cross-appointed at the Wharton School and the School of Arts and Sciences. He was elected a Member of the American Philosophical Society in 2019.

He has written several non-fiction books at the intersection of psychology, political science and organizational behavior, including Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction; Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?; Unmaking the West: What-if Scenarios that Rewrite World History; and Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics. Tetlock is also co-principal investigator of The Good Judgment Project, a multi-year study of the feasibility of improving the accuracy of probability judgments of high-stakes, real-world events.