Economic model
This article is about the asset pricing model in economics. For a description of its more general application in semiparametric regression, see
Semiparametric regression.
The single-index model (SIM) is a simple asset pricing model to measure both the risk and the return of a stock. The model has been developed by William Sharpe in 1963 and is commonly used in the finance industry. Mathematically the SIM is expressed as:
where:
- rit is return to stock i in period t
- rf is the risk free rate (i.e. the interest rate on treasury bills)
- rmt is the return to the market portfolio in period t
- is the stock's alpha, or abnormal return
- is the stock's beta, or responsiveness to the market return
- Note that is called the excess return on the stock, the excess return on the market
- are the residual (random) returns, which are assumed independent normally distributed with mean zero and standard deviation
These equations show that the stock return is influenced by the market (beta), has a firm specific expected value (alpha) and firm-specific unexpected component (residual). Each stock's performance is in relation to the performance of a market index (such as the All Ordinaries). Security analysts often use the SIM for such functions as computing stock betas, evaluating stock selection skills, and conducting event studies.