Tropical cyclone forecasting

Part of a series on
Tropical cyclones
Structure Central dense overcast Development Eye
Effects By Region Warnings and watches Storm surge Preparedness Response
Climatology and tracking Basins Climate change effects RSMCs Scales Observation Forecasting Rainfall forecasting Rainfall climatology
Tropical cyclone naming History List of historical names Lists of retired names: Atlantic, Pacific hurricane, Pacific typhoon, Philippine, Australian, South Pacific
Outline Media coverage Tropical cyclones portal
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Tropical cyclone forecasting is the science of forecasting where a tropical cyclone's center, and its effects, are expected to be at some point in the future. There are several elements to tropical cyclone forecasting: track forecasting, intensity forecasting, rainfall forecasting, storm surge, tornado, and seasonal forecasting. While skill is increasing in regard to track forecasting, intensity forecasting skill remains unchanged over the past several years. Seasonal forecasting began in the 1980s in the Atlantic basin and has spread into other basins in the years since.