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| Turnout | 53.6%  9.0 pp | |||||||||||||||||||
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     DeSantis: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Crist: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | ||||||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Florida |
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The 2022 Florida gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Florida, alongside other state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor Ron DeSantis won re-election in a landslide[1][2] and defeated the Democratic Party nominee, Charlie Crist, who served as governor of Florida from 2007 to 2011 as a Republican and later as an independent. No Democrat has been elected governor of Florida since 1994.[3][4][5]
According to exit polls, DeSantis won 65% of White voters, 13% of Black voters, and 58% of Latinos; of the latter group, DeSantis won 69% of Cubans and 56% of Puerto Ricans.[6] DeSantis's large margin of victory was in part due to him flipping Democratic stronghold Miami-Dade County for the first time since 2002, and Palm Beach County for the first time since 1986, as well as winning Hillsborough, Osceola, Pinellas, and St. Lucie counties for the first time since 2006. This was also the first gubernatorial election since 2006 in which a candidate received over 50% of the vote. His 19.4% margin of victory was the largest since 1982 and the largest for a Republican in state history, compared to 0.4% four years earlier. It was also the first time the governorship was won by double digits since 2002, and the first time it was won by over a million votes.[7][8]
Significantly, Crist's 39.9% performance was the worst for a Democratic nominee for governor of Florida since 1916. Republicans won all other statewide races by double digits; this is the first time since the end of Reconstruction that Democrats do not hold at least one of the statewide positions. DeSantis also made large gains among Hispanic voters, becoming the first Republican in decades to win a majority of those voters.[6][9] He also had a major fundraising advantage over Crist, setting an all-time record for a gubernatorial candidate.[10]
Some analysts believe that this election indicates that Florida has transitioned from being a swing state into a reliable red state.[11][12]
- ^ Anderson, Zac (November 9, 2022). "DeSantis strengthens potential presidential campaign with landslide reelection win". Palm Beach Post. Retrieved November 13, 2022.
- ^ Pengelly, Martin (November 9, 2022). "Ron DeSantis landslide victory brings Trump and 2024 into focus". The Guardian. Retrieved November 13, 2022.
- ^ Samuels, Alex (June 9, 2021). "Most Candidates Take The Hint After Two Losses. Why Won't Beto O'Rourke and Charlie Crist?". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved November 10, 2022.
- ^ "2022 Election: Live Analysis and Results". FiveThirtyEight. November 8, 2022. Retrieved November 9, 2022.
- ^ Rakich, Nathaniel (November 9, 2022). "Gubernatorial Races Were A Mixed Bag For Each Party". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved November 10, 2022.
- ^ a b "Exit polls for Midterm Election Results 2022". CNN. November 8, 2022. Retrieved November 10, 2022.
- ^ Carrasquillo, Adrian (November 9, 2022). "Ron DeSantis Wins the Florida Latino Vote, Setting Stage for 2024 Clash". Newsweek. Retrieved November 12, 2022.
[DeSantis] flipped Miami-Dade County, Florida's political crown jewel, which completed a stunning reversal in just six years, after backing Hillary Clinton by 30 points in 2016, Joe Biden by 7 in 2020, and now DeSantis by 11 points. In running up the score, DeSantis also secured another major win, becoming the first Florida Republican gubernatorial candidate to win the Latino vote in 20 years, and the first Republican governor to do so since Brian Sandoval in Nevada in 2014. ... Devon Murphy-Anderson, the former finance director for the Florida Democratic Party and cofounder of Mi Vecino, which works to activate Latino voters in Florida, told Newsweek that while Miami-Dade is getting all of the attention, DeSantis' complete and total win also impressively flipped traditional blue areas like Palm Beach County and Hillsborough County. "It's important to know this was a strategy from Florida Republicans, and not to shift the blame to Latino voters," she argued, seeing the results as "a response to strategic investment by a political party."
- ^ Tawfik, Nada (November 12, 2022). "Ron DeSantis: How the Republican governor conquered Florida". BBC News. Retrieved November 12, 2022.
DeSantis outperformed Trump's 2020 figures in key groups that Democrats will need to hold onto the White House. He made gains with Latinos, women and even slightly with black voters, which allowed him to flip counties that traditionally favour Democrats such as Palm Beach, Osceola and of course Miami Dade. He was the first Republican governor since 2002 to win the state's most populous and heavily Hispanic county - not only with Cuban Americans who traditionally lean Republican but also many South Americans and Puerto Ricans who tend to vote Democratic. Joe Biden won the Latino vote in Florida by seven points in 2020 and now DeSantis has carried it by 15 points. These results will shape Florida's politics for years to come. In his victory speech, the governor declared that they had "rewritten the political map". There is no question that Florida is now a Republican state, ending its status as one of the most important swing states in the nation.
- ^ Downey, Renzo (November 3, 2022). "Vote with your feet: Post-pandemic Florida transplants twice as likely to be Rs as Ds". Florida Politics. Retrieved January 27, 2023.
- ^ NW, charitable organization 1300 L. St; Washington, Suite 200 (September 16, 2022). "Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis breaks gubernatorial fundraising record". OpenSecrets News. Retrieved January 27, 2023.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link) - ^ Breuninger, Kevin (November 18, 2022). "Florida no longer looks like a swing state after DeSantis, Rubio lead big Republican wins". CNBC. Retrieved November 23, 2022.
- ^ Friedersdorf, Conor (November 9, 2022). "Is Florida Still a Swing State?". The Atlantic. Retrieved November 23, 2022.