2024 United States presidential election in Arizona

2024 United States presidential election in Arizona

← 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →
Reporting
88%
as of Nov. 10, 12:10 PM MST
 
Nominee Donald Trump Kamala Harris
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida California
Running mate JD Vance Tim Walz
Projected electoral vote 11 0
Popular vote 1,586,587 1,401,830
Percentage 52.6% 46.4%

County Results
[citation needed]

President before election

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

The 2024 United States presidential election in Arizona took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Arizona voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Arizona has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1] Arizona was considered a crucial swing state in 2024. On November 7, 2024, Donald Trump was declared the apparent winner by many major forecasters such as Decision Desk HQ.[2] Arizona has been officially called for Trump by The Associated Press on November 9.[3]

Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden was running for reelection to a second term, and became the party's presumptive nominee.[4] However, following what was widely viewed as a poor performance in the June 2024 presidential debate and amid increasing age and health concerns from within his party, he withdrew from the race on July 21 and endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris (from neighboring California), who launched her presidential campaign the same day.[5]

The Republican nominee is former president Donald Trump.[6] Formerly a moderately red state in the American Southwest, Trump won Arizona in 2016 by 3.5%, a major drop in margin of Republican victory in the traditional GOP stronghold compared to previous cycles, despite an overall more favorable year for Republicans than the previous two presidential elections. Biden narrowly won in Arizona in 2020 by 0.3%. Due to the diversification of Maricopa County, a traditionally Republican stronghold that holds 61.6% of the state's population, the state is now considered a purple state.[7][8] Attorney Robert F. Kennedy Jr. had gathered enough signatures to appear on the ballot.[9] Kennedy's petition was withdrawn, and he was not on the ballot in Arizona.[10]

Donald Trump won Arizona by more than 6%, which represented the largest margin of victory since 2012. It was Trump's largest margin of victory in his sweep of the seven swing states and proved to be much less competitive than expected.

  1. ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
  2. ^ Arizona projected for Trump by DDHQ, giving him all 7 swing states, KRON, November 7, 2024
  3. ^ Why AP called Arizona for Trump, AP News, November 9, 2024
  4. ^ Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC. Archived from the original on April 25, 2023. Retrieved July 22, 2023.
  5. ^ "Harris says she'll 'earn' nomination as Biden steps aside". The Washington Post. Retrieved July 22, 2024.
  6. ^ Gold, Michael; Nehamas, Nicholas (March 13, 2024). "Donald Trump and Joe Biden Clinch Their Party Nominations". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Archived from the original on March 13, 2024. Retrieved July 22, 2024.
  7. ^ "County Population Totals: 2010-2019". United States Census Bureau. Archived from the original on April 18, 2019. Retrieved February 1, 2021.
  8. ^ Collins, Keith; Fessenden, Ford; Gamio, Lazaro; Harris, Rich; Keefe, John; Lu, Denise; Lutz, Eleanor; Schoenfeld Walker, Amy; Watkins, Derek (November 10, 2020). "Phoenix's Blue Wave Pushes Arizona Toward Biden". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Archived from the original on January 31, 2021. Retrieved February 1, 2021.
  9. ^ Pellish, Aaron (February 27, 2024). "Super PAC supporting RFK Jr. says it has gathered enough signatures to put him on ballot in Arizona, Georgia | CNN Politics". CNN. Retrieved February 27, 2024.
  10. ^ McDuffie, Will; Santucci, John (August 22, 2024). "RFK Jr. withdraws petition to be on Arizona ballot amid plans to end campaign". ABC News. Retrieved August 24, 2024.