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| Elections in Florida |
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The 2024 United States presidential election in Florida was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Florida voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Florida has 30 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.[1]
Despite being a heavily populated and fast-growing state once considered a presidential battleground and bellwether, Florida has been trending towards the political right in recent years and is now seen as a moderately red state. Florida is a Southern state substantially in the Bible Belt, having two large distinct cultural areas. North Florida and the Florida Panhandle are part of the conservative Deep South. South Florida has a heavy Latin American influence, with large Catholic Cuban and Puerto Rican populations in the Miami metropolitan area.
In 2020, Republican Donald Trump (who changed his resident state from New York to Florida in 2019[2]) carried the state again by 3.4 percentage points, an improvement from his 1.2% margin in 2016, despite Trump losing re-election nationwide and polls pointing to a narrow Democratic win in Florida. In addition, Republicans won all statewide offices by double-digit margins in the 2022 midterms.[3][4]
On election day, Trump defeated Harris in his home state by about thirteen percentage points, flipping 6 counties and winning by the biggest margin since 1988.[5] Trump also received the most raw votes for a political candidate ever in the state breaking his own record from 2020.
On May 23, 2024, the Reform Party of Florida applied to restore ballot access in the state.[6] That same day, the party selected independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. for its nomination.[7] On August 23, 2024, Kennedy dropped out of the race and endorsed Trump.[8] This is the first time since 1988 that the state was won with a double digit margin and also voted Republican in three consecutive presidential elections, and Miami-Dade County voted Republican.[9] Following the 2022 midterms, the election has cemented Florida's transition from a swing state to a reliable red state.
- ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
- ^ Kelly, Caroline (November 1, 2019). "Trump ditches New York to become a Florida resident, court documents show | CNN Politics". CNN. Retrieved February 29, 2024.
- ^ Friedersdorf, Conor (November 9, 2022). "Is Florida Still a Swing State?". The Atlantic. Retrieved November 23, 2022.
- ^ Carrasquillo, Adrian (November 9, 2022). "Ron DeSantis Wins the Florida Latino Vote, Setting Stage for 2024 Clash". Newsweek. Retrieved November 12, 2022.
[DeSantis] flipped Miami-Dade County, Florida's political crown jewel, which completed a stunning reversal in just six years, after backing Hillary Clinton by 30 points in 2016, Joe Biden by 7 in 2020, and now DeSantis by 11 points. In running up the score, DeSantis also secured another major win, becoming the first Florida Republican gubernatorial candidate to win the Latino vote in 20 years, and the first Republican governor to do so since Brian Sandoval in Nevada in 2014. ... Devon Murphy-Anderson, the former finance director for the Florida Democratic Party and cofounder of Mi Vecino, which works to activate Latino voters in Florida, told Newsweek that while Miami-Dade is getting all of the attention, DeSantis' complete and total win also impressively flipped traditional blue areas like Palm Beach County and Hillsborough County. "It's important to know this was a strategy from Florida Republicans, and not to shift the blame to Latino voters," she argued, seeing the results as "a response to strategic investment by a political party."
- ^ "Florida President Election 2024 Live Results: Trump Wins". www.nbcnews.com. November 6, 2024. Retrieved November 6, 2024.
- ^ "Florida Reform Party Works to Restore Party Status and Ballot Access After 2023 Revocation – Independent Political Report".
- ^ The Reform Party of the United States on X. (May 23, 2024). "Reform Party of the United States on X: "The Reform Party has nominated Robert F. Kennedy Jr. @RobertKennedyJr for President of the United States and will hand him our automatic ballot access in the State of Florida as well as our advantages as a qualified party. We look forward to working with Mr. Kennedy."". X.com.
- ^ Faguy, Ana (August 23, 2024). "Robert F Kennedy Jr suspends campaign and backs Trump". BBC. Retrieved September 3, 2024.
- ^ Gans, Jared (November 6, 2024). "Trump set to win Miami-Dade, a past Democratic base". The Hill. Retrieved November 6, 2024.