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| Elections in Nebraska |
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The 2024 United States presidential election in Nebraska is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states and the District of Columbia will participate. Nebraska voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. Nebraska has five electoral votes.
A sparsely populated Great Plains state, Nebraska has voted Republican in nearly every presidential election since its statehood, making exceptions only for favorite son William Jennings Bryan; Woodrow Wilson; Franklin D. Roosevelt in his first two terms; and landslide winner Lyndon B. Johnson. Democratic presidential candidates have not been able to come within single digits of carrying the state since Johnson carried the state in his 1964 landslide, and the only Democrat to win more than 40% of the statewide vote since then was Barack Obama, who garnered 41.60% in 2008.
However, the state's slightly blue 2nd congressional district, which contains Omaha and some of its suburbs, has been competitive since 2008, when Obama narrowly won the district by 1.22% in the first election where Nebraska — one of two states that can split their electoral votes, the other being Maine — gave a Democrat any of its electoral votes in 44 years. This leftward shift is primarily owed to recent population growth experienced by the Omaha metropolitan area. In 2020, the district flipped back to the Democratic column when Joe Biden won it by 6.5%. Nebraska at-large is expected to be solidly won by the Republican nominee, former President Donald Trump, while the second district is considered to be slightly favoring the Democratic nominee, Vice President Kamala Harris.[1] If Harris were to win the district, it would mark the first time a Democrat had carried it in two consecutive elections since Nebraska started using the congressional district method. Tim Walz, the running mate of Kamala Harris and governor of Minnesota, was born and raised in Nebraska.[2]
The first district is considered to strongly favor Republicans, with Trump having carried it by 15-points in 2020. The third district is even more heavily Republican, having been carried by Trump by 53-points in 2020.
In April 2024, there was a failed push from some Republicans to replace the split electoral college voting with a winner-takes-all system. A second attempt failed in September. The change to winner-take-all is supported by Trump, Governor Jim Pillen, 2nd district congressman Don Bacon,[3] and Charlie Kirk from Turning Point USA.[4][5][6]
- ^ "270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270toWin.com. Retrieved March 11, 2024.
- ^ Searcey, Dionne (August 6, 2024). "Walz Grew Up in Rural Nebraska, Where Finding a Date 'Was Kind of a Problem'". The New York Times.
- ^ Montellardo, Zach (April 10, 2024). "Nebraska Republicans float special session to revive Trump-backed election rule change". Politico. Retrieved May 2, 2024.
- ^ Pengelly, Martin (April 3, 2024). "Far-right podcaster prompts Nebraska move to change electoral system". The Guardian.
- ^ Kerr, Nicholas (April 3, 2024). "Lawmakers skeptical of enacting Trump-backed bill in Nebraska that could give him edge over Biden". ABC News.
- ^ Kamisar, Ben; Bowman, Bridget; Smith, Allan (April 3, 2024). "Trump and GOP leaders push to change Nebraska electoral votes to winner-take-all". NBC News.