2024 United States presidential election in Nevada

2024 United States presidential election in Nevada

← 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →
 
Nominee Donald Trump Kamala Harris
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida California
Running mate JD Vance Tim Walz
Projected electoral vote 6 0
Popular vote 728,369 682,430
Percentage 50.6% 47.4%

County Results

President before election

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

The 2024 United States presidential election in Nevada took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states, plus the District of Columbia, participated. Nevada voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Nevada has six electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census, in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]

A Mountain West state, as well as a crucial swing state for the election, Trump became the first Republican presidential candidate to win the state since George W. Bush's narrow victory in 2004. It has not been won by double digits since the elder Bush in 1988. Nevada has voted for the winner of every presidential election since 1980 with the exception of 2016, when it backed Hillary Clinton; and has been decided by single digits in every presidential election since 1992 with the exception of Barack Obama's 12.4% win in 2008. Obama won by less than 7% in 2012, and Trump lost by less than 2.5% in both 2016 and 2020. Today a purple state, Democratic strength in Nevada is almost entirely focused on Las Vegas and Reno, along with many of their suburbs.

Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden initially ran for reelection to a second term,[2] but withdrew from the election on July 21, 2024.[3] He then endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris, who launched her presidential campaign the same day.[4] Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. had gathered enough signatures to appear on the ballot, as he announced in March[5], but later announced on August 23, 2024 that he was suspending his campaign in swing states, including Nevada.[6]

Despite Trump, who was running under the Republican banner a third consecutive time, not carrying Nevada in either of his past two presidential campaigns, polling in the state showed Trump in a strong position to win the state against Biden, with Trump leading Biden in all major polls on Nevada's voting intention from October 2023 until Biden's withdrawal in July 2024. However, Kamala Harris, from neighboring California, had polled somewhat better since becoming the Democratic nominee. The state was rated as a tossup by nearly all major news organizations.[7]

Despite more competitive polling after Harris entered the race, Trump won Nevada, defeating Harris by over three percentage points and becoming the first Republican to win the state since George W. Bush in 2004. Nevada was the only state that did not back Donald Trump in either of his 2016 or 2020 campaigns that voted for him in 2024. This is the first time since statehood that Nevada voted for a Republican and Colorado voted Democratic.

  1. ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
  2. ^ Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC.
  3. ^ "President Joe Biden drops out of 2024 presidential race". NBC News. July 22, 2024. Retrieved July 22, 2024.
  4. ^ "Harris says she'll 'earn' nomination as Biden steps aside". The Washington Post. Retrieved July 22, 2024.
  5. ^ Dorn, Sara. "Why RFK Jr. Could Hurt Biden Against Trump—As He Gains Ballot Access In Key Swing State". Forbes. Retrieved March 7, 2024.
  6. ^ "RFK Jr. won't appear on Nevada presidential ballot after agreement with state Dems". The Nevada Independent. August 27, 2024. Retrieved August 30, 2024.
  7. ^ "Nevada Polls". June 28, 2018.