2024 United States presidential election in Texas

2024 United States presidential election in Texas

← 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →
Turnout61.11% (of registered voters) Decrease 5.62 pp
 
Nominee Donald Trump Kamala Harris
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida California
Running mate JD Vance Tim Walz
Electoral vote 40 0
Popular vote 6,375,376 4,806,474
Percentage 56.26% 42.41%


President before election

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

The 2024 United States presidential election in Texas was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Texas voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Texas had 40 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained two seats.[1]

One of the most populous, fast-growing, and diverse states in the U.S., Texas is generally considered to be a red state, not having voted Democratic in a presidential election since southerner Jimmy Carter won it in 1976 and with Republicans holding all statewide offices since 1999. Texas’s location in the American South and largely in the greater Bible Belt has given the Republican Party the upper hand in the state in recent decades.[2] Nonetheless, Texas was considered by some to be potentially competitive, as the state had not backed a Republican for president by double digits since it favored Mitt Romney in 2012, which was largely credited to the fast-growing Texas Triangle, which trended leftwards in some elections, namely in the closely-contested 2018 U.S. Senate race and the 2020 U.S. presidential election, which both saw the Metroplex county of Tarrant and the Greater Austin counties of Williamson and Hays flip blue for the first time in decades. However, in the 2020 elections, predominantly Hispanic South Texas shifted significantly rightward, a trend that the rest of the state followed in the 2022 midterms.[3][4] Trump ultimately won Texas by a margin of over 1.5 million votes, the second-largest margin of victory for any presidential candidate in Texas history.[5] Trump also won 242 out of the state's 254 counties, the most for a Republican since 1972.[citation needed]

Incumbent Democratic President Joe Biden initially ran for re-election and became the party's presumptive nominee.[6] However, following what was widely viewed as a poor performance in the June 2024 presidential debate and amid increasing age and health concerns from within his party, he withdrew from the race on July 21 and endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris, who launched her presidential campaign the same day.[7] Biden's withdrawal from the race makes him the first eligible president not to stand for re-election since Texan native Lyndon B. Johnson in 1968.

Former Republican President Donald Trump ran for re-election to a second non-consecutive term after his defeat in the 2020 election.[8] Having carried Texas by single-digit margins in the past two presidential elections (by a 9% margin in 2016 and by 5.6% in 2020), Trump once again carried The Lone Star State, but with a decisive victory margin of nearly 14%. Trump significantly outperformed his polling averages in the state and became the first presidential candidate to win Texas by double digits since Mitt Romney in 2012, possibly seeing a reversion of the blue trend that Texas had seen in recent years. According to exit polls, 55% of Latinos in the state voted for Trump.[9] Data also showed that Trump made large inroads with Asians in Texas, who broke 58% Republican.[10] Trump received over six million votes, becoming the first presidential candidate to achieve this feat in Texas and setting a record for the most raw votes received in the state, as well as the largest raw vote total ever received by a Republican presidential candidate in any state in American history. This was also the first time a Republican candidate won the majority of both Asian and Hispanic voters in Texas. Such rightward trends in Latino and Asian voters were replicated nationwide in other states.

  1. ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
  2. ^ Barabak, Mark Z. (December 7, 2023). "Column: In two decades, much of the West has turned blue. Why hasn't Texas?". Los Angeles Times.
  3. ^ "House Generic Ballot Estimates, 2008-2022". Split Ticket. April 7, 2023.
  4. ^ "Republican victories show Texas is still far from turning blue". The Texas Tribune. November 9, 2022. As large as the cities are and how Democratic that they are, Texas Democrats still don't have a way to get past that red wall of rural West Texas, [Drew Landry] said. Rural Texas still rules the day. I was seeing some very, very close numbers before a lot of the rural counties reported [election returns], and once they did, it just blew the door open for Abbott.
  5. ^ Jack Fink (November 9, 2024). "Trump's margin of victory in Texas is largest for a president-elect in 20 years". CBS News.
  6. ^ Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC. Archived from the original on April 25, 2023. Retrieved April 25, 2023.
  7. ^ "Harris says she'll 'earn' nomination as Biden steps aside". The Washington Post. Retrieved July 21, 2024.
  8. ^ Orr, Gabby (November 16, 2022). "Former President Donald Trump announces a White House bid for 2024". CNN.com. Retrieved October 8, 2023.
  9. ^ "Exit poll results 2024 | CNN Politics". CNN. Retrieved November 15, 2024.
  10. ^ Guskin, Emily; Alcantara, Chris; Chen, Janice Kai. "Texas presidential and senatorial exit polls". The Washington Post. Retrieved November 15, 2024.