Crisis in Venezuela

Crisis in Venezuela
Top to bottom, left to right:
Hundreds of Venezuelans wait to seal their passports at an Ecuadorian customs house; millions demonstrate during the Mother of All Marches in 2017; a man eating from garbage in Venezuela; empty store shelves from shortages; people queued to enter a store; Paola Ramírez, a student killed by colectivos[1][2][3] during the 2017 protests
Date2 June 2010[4][5] – present
(14 years, 5 months, 3 weeks and 4 days)
Location
Venezuela
Caused by
StatusOngoing
Parties
Lead figures

An ongoing socioeconomic and political crisis began in Venezuela during the presidency of Hugo Chávez and has worsened during the presidency of successor Nicolás Maduro. It has been marked by hyperinflation, escalating starvation,[6] disease, crime and mortality rates, resulting in massive emigration.[7]

It is the worst economic crisis in Venezuela's history, and the worst facing a country in peacetime since the mid-20th century. The crisis is often considered more severe than the Great Depression in the United States, the 1985–1994 Brazilian economic crisis, or the 2008–2009 hyperinflation in Zimbabwe.[8] Writers have compared aspects, such as unemployment and GDP contraction, to that of Bosnia and Herzegovina after the 1992–95 Bosnian War, and those in Russia, Cuba and Albania following the Revolutions of 1989.[9][10]

In June 2010, Chávez declared an "economic war" due to increasing shortages in Venezuela. The crisis intensified under the Maduro government, growing more severe as a result of low oil prices in 2015,[11] and a drop in oil production from lack of maintenance and investment.[12] In January 2016, the opposition-led National Assembly declared a "health humanitarian crisis".[13] The government failed to cut spending in the face of falling oil revenues, denied the existence of a crisis,[14] and violently repressed opposition.[12][15] Extrajudicial killings by the government became common, with the UN reporting 5,287 killings by the Special Action Forces in 2017, with at least another 1,569 killings in the first six months of 2019, stating some killings were "done as a reprisal for [the victims'] participation in anti-government demonstrations."[16] Political corruption, chronic shortages of food and medicine, closure of businesses, unemployment, deterioration of productivity, authoritarianism, human rights violations, gross economic mismanagement and high dependence on oil have contributed to the crisis.[17][18]

As a response to human rights abuses, the degradation in the rule of law, and corruption, the European Union, the Lima Group, the US and other countries have applied sanctions against government officials and members of the military and security forces.[19] The US extended its sanctions to the petroleum sector. Supporters of Chávez and Maduro said the problems result from an "economic war" on Venezuela,[20] falling oil prices, international sanctions,[21] and the business elite, while critics of the government say the cause is economic mismanagement and corruption.[22] Most observers cite anti-democratic governance,[23][24] corruption,[17][25] and mismanagement of the economy as causes.[18][26] Others attribute the crisis to the "socialist",[27][28][29][30] "populist",[31][32][33][34] or "hyper-populist" nature of the government's policies,[35] and the use of these to maintain political power.[36][37][38] National and international analysts and economists stated the crisis is not the result of a conflict, natural disaster, or sanctions, but the consequences of populist policies and corrupt practices that began under the Chávez administration's Bolivarian Revolution and continued under Maduro.[39][40]

The crisis has affected the life of the average Venezuelan on all levels. By 2017, hunger had escalated to the point where almost 75% of the population had lost an average of over 8 kg (over 19 lbs)[a] and more than half did not have enough income to meet their basic food needs.[42][43][44] By 2021 20% of Venezuelans (5.4 million) had left the country.[45][46] The UN analysis estimates in 2019 that 25% of Venezuelans needed some form of humanitarian assistance.[47] Following increased international sanctions throughout 2019, the Maduro government abandoned policies established by Chávez such as price and currency controls, which resulted in the country seeing a temporary rebound from economic decline before COVID entered Venezuela.[48][49] As a response to the devaluation of the official bolívar currency, by 2019 the population increasingly started relying on US dollars for transactions.[50]

According to the national Living Conditions Survey (ENCOVI), by 2021 95% of the population was living in poverty based on income, out of which 77% lived under extreme poverty, the highest figure ever recorded in the country.[51] In 2022, after the implementation of mild economic liberalization, poverty decreased and the economy grew for the first time in 8 years. Despite these improvements, Venezuela continues to have the highest rate of inequality in the Americas. Although food shortages and hyperinflation have largely ended, inflation remains high.[52]

  1. ^ "Report of the General Secretariat Of The Organization Of American States And The Panel Of Independent International Experts On The Possible Commission of Crimes Against Humanity In Venezuela" (PDF). Organization of American States. 29 May 2018. p. 70. That same April 19, 23-year-old Paola Andreína Ramírez Gómez, a student at the Catholic University of San Cristóbal, was killed in the vicinity of the Plaza de Las Palomas of the neighborhood of San Carlos, Táchira state, when she was intercepted by several armed civilians on motorcycles "patrolling" the demonstrations taking place in the area. They tried to strip her of her belongings, and as she tried to run away she was struck down by a bullet that perforated her lungs.
  2. ^ "Colectivos: el rostro civil de la represión en Táchira" (in Spanish). Venezuelan Observatory of Violence. 15 August 2017. Archived from the original on 3 April 2019. Retrieved 23 March 2019. Allí cayó la joven de 23 años en medio de un enfrentamiento entre un vecino del sector y este grupo armado.
  3. ^ "Así mataron los colectivos chavistas a Paola Ramírez, la segunda víctima del #19A en Venezuela". Infobae (in Spanish). 20 April 2017. Retrieved 23 March 2019. El asesinato de Paola Andreína Ramírez Gómez, una joven estudiante de 23 años, quedó registrado en al menos dos videos que muestran cómo operan los colectivos chavistas que acabaron con su vida.
  4. ^ "Chávez declara 'guerra económica' a burguesía en Venezuela". El Universo (in Spanish). 2 June 2010. Retrieved 16 July 2018.
  5. ^ Ellsworth, Brian (14 February 2012). "Insight: Post-election hangover looms for Venezuela economy". Reuters. Retrieved 22 February 2017.
  6. ^ "One in three Venezuelans not getting enough to eat, UN finds". The Guardian. 24 February 2020. Retrieved 10 March 2020.
  7. ^ Larmer, Brook (1 November 2018). "What 52,000 Percent Inflation Can Do to a Country". The New York Times. Retrieved 2 November 2018.
  8. ^ Kurmanaev, Anatoly (17 May 2019). "Venezuela's Collapse Is the Worst Outside of War in Decades, Economists Say". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 18 May 2019. Venezuela's fall is the single largest economic collapse outside of war in at least 45 years, economists say. ... economists say, the poor governance, corruption and misguided policies of President Nicolás Maduro and his predecessor, Hugo Chávez, have fueled runaway inflation, shuttered businesses and brought the country to its knees. ... most independent economists say the recession began years before the sanctions, ...
  9. ^ Biller, David and Patricia Laya (9 April 2019). "Venezuela unemployment nears that of war-ruined Bosnia, IMF says". Bloomberg. Retrieved 9 April 2019.
  10. ^ * Krauze, Enrique (8 March 2018). "Hell of a Fiesta". New York Review of Books. 65 (4). Retrieved 23 April 2018.
  11. ^ * Mariana Zuñiga and Anthony Faiola. "Even sex is in crisis in Venezuela, where contraceptives are growing scarce".
  12. ^ a b Larmer, Brook (1 November 2018). "What 52,000 Percent Inflation Can Do to a Country". The New York Times. Retrieved 2 November 2018.
  13. ^ "Asamblea Nacional de Venezuela declara "crisis humanitaria de salud" por escasez de medicamentos" [Venezuela's National Assembly declares "humanitarian health crisis" due to medicine shortage] (in Spanish). BBC. 27 January 2016. Retrieved 20 February 2019.
  14. ^ * "Delcy Rodríguez: No existe crisis humanitaria en Venezuela". El Nacional (in Spanish). 31 August 2018. Retrieved 2 September 2018.
  15. ^ "Venezuela blackout, in 2nd day, threatens food supplies and patient lives". The New York Times. 8 March 2019. Retrieved 18 March 2019. The Maduro administration has been responsible for grossly mismanaging the economy and plunging the country into a deep humanitarian crisis in which many people lack food and medical care. He has also attempted to crush the opposition by jailing or exiling critics, and using lethal force against antigovernment protesters.
  16. ^ "Venezuela Forces Killed Thousands, Then Covered It Up, U.N. Says." New York Times. 5 July 2019.
  17. ^ a b Sibery, Brian Loughman, Richard A. (2012). Bribery and corruption : navigating the global risks. Hoboken, N.J.: Wiley. ISBN 978-1118011362.{{cite book}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  18. ^ a b "Venezuela deve continuar como economia mais miseravel do mundo". economia.uol.com.br. 4 February 2016. Retrieved 3 May 2017.
  19. ^ *"EU extends Venezuela sanctions over democracy, rights violations". Reuters. 6 November 2018. Retrieved 3 April 2019.
  20. ^ "Venezuela 2016 inflation hits 800 percent, GDP shrinks 19 percent: document". Reuters. 20 January 2017. Retrieved 1 May 2017.
  21. ^ Welle (www.dw.com), Deutsche. "The human cost of the US sanctions on Venezuela | DW | 01.10.2019". DW.COM. Retrieved 22 September 2020.
  22. ^ Melimopoulos, Elizabeth (21 January 2019). "Venezuela in crisis: How did the country get here?". Al Jazeera. Retrieved 23 March 2019.
  23. ^ Toro, Francisco (21 August 2018). "No, Venezuela doesn't prove anything about socialism". The Washington Post. Retrieved 4 June 2019. Since the turn of the century, every big country in South America except Colombia has elected a socialist president at some point. Socialists have taken power in South America's largest economy (Brazil), in its poorest (Bolivia) and in its most capitalist (Chile). Socialists have led South America's most stable country (Uruguay) as well as its most unstable (Ecuador). Argentina and Peru elected leftists who, for various reasons, didn't refer to themselves as socialists – but certainly governed as such. Mysteriously, the supposedly automatic link between socialism and the zombie apocalypse skipped all of them. Not content with merely not-collapsing, a number of these countries have thrived.
  24. ^ "Socialismo de Maduro ha convertido a Venezuela en un estado de pobreza y desesperación: Trump". El Financiero. 5 February 2019. Retrieved 4 June 2019.
  25. ^ López Maya, Margarita (14 December 2018). "Populism, 21st-century socialism and corruption in Venezuela". Thesis Eleven. 149: 67–83. doi:10.1177/0725513618818727. S2CID 150327831.
  26. ^ Rabouin, Dion (19 May 2018). "Here's why you can't blame socialism for Venezuela's crisis". Yahoo! Finance. Retrieved 4 June 2019. Socialism can result in diverse outcomes that range from the economy of Norway to that of Venezuela, and socialist leaders who vary as widely as Bolivia's Evo Morales and France's former President François Hollande . . . Venezuela's problems stem from corruption and egregious mismanagement, which can happen anywhere. Countries with socialist regimes such as China, Vietnam, Chile and many in Europe have managed to successfully grow their economies as Venezuela's has tumbled.
  27. ^ Cusack, Asa. "Is socialism to blame for Venezuela's never-ending crisis?". Aljazeera. Archived from the original on 6 October 2020. Retrieved 8 September 2021.
  28. ^ Faiola, Anthony. "In socialist Venezuela, a crisis of faith not in just their leader but their economic model". The Washington Post. No. 11 February 2019. Retrieved 31 May 2019.
  29. ^ Di Martino, Daniel (21 March 2019). "How Socialism Destroyed Venezuela". Economics21. Archived from the original on 17 April 2019. Retrieved 8 September 2021.
  30. ^ Oliveros, Asdrúbal; Arcay, Guillermo; Leidenz, Jean-Paul (10 January 2018). "Hiperinflaciones socialistas". Prodavinci (in Spanish). Archived from the original on 10 January 2018. Retrieved 8 September 2021.
  31. ^ Heritage, Andrew (December 2002). Financial Times World Desk Reference. Dorling Kindersley. pp. 618–621. ISBN 9780789488053.
  32. ^ Wilpert, Gregory Wilpert (2007). Changing Venezuela By Taking Power: The History and Policies of the Chavez Government. Verso. p. 69. ISBN 978-1-84467-552-4.
  33. ^ "A Populist Paradox". Kellogg School of Management at Northwestern University. 1 November 2010. Retrieved 31 August 2018. Chavez won the election despite multiple signs that some of his populist policies, including redistributive land reform and price setting, were harming average Venezuelans.
  34. ^ Murphy, Robert P. (6 May 2017). "The Venezuelan Crisis Is Due to Economic Ignorance". The Independent Institute. Retrieved 31 August 2018. As awful as the Venezuelan crisis is, it is not surprising. Indeed, the pattern we see there is a predictable outcome of 'populist' policies that ignore the basic laws of economics.
  35. ^ Corrales, Javier (7 May 2015). "Don't Blame It On the Oil". Foreign Policy. Retrieved 18 November 2019.
  36. ^ Corrales, Javier (7 March 2013). "The House That Chavez Built". Foreign Policy. Retrieved 6 February 2015.
  37. ^ "Venezuela's Expensive Friendships". Stratfor. 2 January 2016. Retrieved 20 January 2016.
  38. ^ Min-woo, Nam (2 May 2018). "Hwapyegyeongje muneojyeossneunde... choejeoimgeum insang-e mogmaeneun Benesuella" 화폐경제 무너졌는데…최저임금 인상에 목매는 베네수엘라 [The economy collapsed... Venezuela clamors for minimum wage hike]. The Chosun Ilbo (in Korean). Retrieved 22 May 2018. Venezuela's fall is considered to be mainly caused by the populist policy ... Venezuela, for decades, has increased the number of public sector employees and has promoted populist support to maintain the regime.
  39. ^ Kurmanaev, Anatoly (17 May 2019). "Venezuela's Collapse Is the Worst Outside of War in Decades, Economists Say". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 18 May 2019. Venezuela's fall is the single largest economic collapse outside of war in at least 45 years, economists say. ... economists say, the poor governance, corruption and misguided policies of President Nicolás Maduro and his predecessor, Hugo Chávez, have fueled runaway inflation, shuttered businesses and brought the country to its knees. ... most independent economists say the recession began years before the sanctions, ...
  40. ^ *Corrales, Javier (7 March 2013). "The House That Chavez Built". Foreign Policy. Retrieved 6 February 2015.
  41. ^ "Venezuela: 75% of population lost 19 pounds amid crisis". UPI. Retrieved 1 May 2017.
  42. ^ Caraballo-Arias, Yohama; Madrid, Jesús; Barrios, Marcial (25 September 2018). "Working in Venezuela: How the Crisis has Affected the Labor Conditions". Annals of Global Health. 84 (3): 512–522. doi:10.29024/aogh.2325. ISSN 2214-9996. PMC 6748246. PMID 30835391.
  43. ^ Nichols, Michelle (29 March 2019). "Venezuelans facing 'unprecedented challenges,' many need aid - internal U.N. report". Reuters. Retrieved 6 April 2019.
  44. ^ "Venezuelan migrant exodus hits 3 million: U.N." Reuters. 8 November 2018. Retrieved 28 February 2019.
  45. ^ "Venezuela situation". United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees. Archived from the original on 12 January 2019. Retrieved 12 May 2021.
  46. ^ Wyss, Jim (13 August 2019). "A nation is vanishing: Has Venezuela lost almost 20 percent of its population?". The Miami Herald. Retrieved 15 August 2019.
  47. ^ "UNODC: Intentional Homicide Victims". United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC). Retrieved 20 February 2019.
  48. ^ "Venezuela's timid gains in taming inflation fade as food prices soar". Reuters. 11 May 2020.
  49. ^ "More dollars and fewer protests in Venezuela". The Economist. 18 December 2019. ISSN 0013-0613. Retrieved 27 December 2019.
  50. ^ "Maduro says 'thank God' for dollarization in Venezuela". Reuters. 17 November 2019. Retrieved 18 November 2019.
  51. ^ "Encovi 2021: Venezuela Is The Poorest Country in Latin America". Caracas Chronicles. 30 September 2021. Archived from the original on 30 September 2021. Retrieved 24 December 2021.
  52. ^ Frangie-Mawad, Tony (19 January 2023). "Venezuela's Modest Economic Liberalization Has Created a 'Hellscape of Inequality'". Foreign Policy. Retrieved 10 July 2023.


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