Dividend discount model

In financial economics, the dividend discount model (DDM) is a method of valuing the price of a company's capital stock or business value based on the assertion that intrinsic value is determined by the sum of future cash flows from dividend payments to shareholders, discounted back to their present value.[1][2] The constant-growth form of the DDM is sometimes referred to as the Gordon growth model (GGM), after Myron J. Gordon of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, the University of Rochester, and the University of Toronto, who published it along with Eli Shapiro in 1956 and made reference to it in 1959.[3][4] Their work borrowed heavily from the theoretical and mathematical ideas found in John Burr Williams 1938 book "The Theory of Investment Value," which put forth the dividend discount model 18 years before Gordon and Shapiro.

When dividends are assumed to grow at a constant rate, the variables are: is the current stock price. is the constant growth rate in perpetuity expected for the dividends. is the constant cost of equity capital for that company. is the value of dividends at the end of the first period.

  1. ^ Bodie, Zvi; Kane, Alex; Marcus, Alan (2010). Essentials of Investments (eighth ed.). New York, NY: McGraw-Hill Irwin. p. 399. ISBN 978-0-07-338240-1.{{cite book}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  2. ^ Investopedia – Digging Into The Dividend Discount Model
  3. ^ Gordon, M.J and Eli Shapiro (1956) "Capital Equipment Analysis: The Required Rate of Profit," Management Science, 3,(1) (October 1956) 102-110. Reprinted in Management of Corporate Capital, Glencoe, Ill.: Free Press of, 1959.
  4. ^ Gordon, Myron J. (1959). "Dividends, Earnings and Stock Prices". Review of Economics and Statistics. 41 (2). The MIT Press: 99–105. doi:10.2307/1927792. JSTOR 1927792.