Extinction threshold is a term used in conservation biology to explain the point at which a species, population or metapopulation, experiences an abrupt change in density or number because of an important parameter, such as habitat loss. It is at this critical value below which a species, population, or metapopulation, will go extinct,[1] though this may take a long time for species just below the critical value, a phenomenon known as extinction debt.[2]
Extinction thresholds are important to conservation biologists when studying a species in a population or metapopulation context because the colonization rate must be larger than the extinction rate, otherwise the entire entity will go extinct once it reaches the threshold.[3]
Extinction thresholds are realized under a number of circumstances and the point in modeling them is to define the conditions that lead a population to extinction.[4] Modeling extinction thresholds can explain the relationship between extinction threshold and habitat loss and habitat fragmentation.[5]