Foreign electoral intervention

Foreign electoral interventions (FEI) are attempts by a government to influence the elections of another country.[1] Common methods include backing a preferred party or candidate, harming the electoral chances of another party or candidate, elevating the power or voice of disruptive candidates, or exacerbating overall polarization through amplifying or disseminating misinformation or disinformation.[2]

Unlike other forms of foreign intervention, such as through military force or economic coercion, FEI aims to achieve a political outcome in the targeted country by affecting how its citizens vote, rather than by directly imposing regime change (such as backing or initiating a coup).[3] However, some methods of FEI, such as manipulating voter registration records, similarly violate the target country's sovereignty.[4]

Consequently, some scholars and organizations, such as the United States National Intelligence Council,[5] distinguish between methods of FEI that constitute interference—in that they clearly violate the domestic laws of the target state, such as disrupting vote counting, providing illicit funds to a party or candidate, or launching cyberattacks on a political campaign—and influence, which alter incentives or beliefs of voters through evidently legal means, such as public threats or endorsements by foreign officials, offering preferential trade terms, or revealing legally held but damaging information about a party or candidate.[6]

Although foreign electoral interventions in all forms are categorically initiated and conducted by a foreign power (typically a government), they almost always require the consent, cooperation, or assistance of a domestic actor, such as a political party, candidate, media member, or other influential public figure.[7][8]

  1. ^ J Marshall Palmer, Alex Wilner, Deterrence and Foreign Election Intervention: Securing Democracy through Punishment, Denial, and Delegitimization, Journal of Global Security Studies, Volume 9, Issue 2, June 2024
  2. ^ Wigell Mikael. 2021. “Democratic Deterrence: How to Dissuade Hybrid Interference" The Washington Quarterly 44 (1): 49–67.
  3. ^ Levin, Dov H. "When the great power gets a vote: The effects of great power electoral interventions on election results." International Studies Quarterly 60, no. 2 (2016): 189-202.
  4. ^ Sanger David E., Edmondson Catie. 2019. “Russia Targeted Election Systems in all 50 States, Report Finds.” The New York Times, July 25.
  5. ^ Foreign Threats to 2020 US Federal Elections .
  6. ^ Levin, Dov H. 2016b. "Partisan Electoral Interventions by the Great Powers: Introducing the PEIG Dataset." Conflict Management and Peace Science. 36 (1): 88–106.
  7. ^ Levin, Dov H. Meddling in the ballot box: The causes and effects of partisan electoral interventions. Oxford University Press, USA, 2020.
  8. ^ Rid, Thomas. Active measures: The secret history of disinformation and political warfare. Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 2020, 387–410