Greater fool theory

In finance, the greater fool theory suggests that one can sometimes make money through speculation on overvalued assets — items with a purchase price drastically exceeding the intrinsic value — if those assets can later be resold at an even higher price.

In this context, one "lesser fool" might pay for an overpriced asset, hoping that they can sell it to an even "greater fool" and make a profit. This only works as long as there are enough new "greater fools" willing to pay higher and higher prices for the asset. Eventually, investors can no longer deny that the price is out of touch with reality, at which point a sell-off can cause the price to drop significantly until it is closer to its fair value, which in some cases could be zero.[1][2][3][4] The last "fools" to purchase in on the product in question are then left holding the bag, allowing earlier, lesser fools to make off with the profit.

  1. ^ "Greater Fool Theory Definition - What is Greater Fool Theory?". Investorglossary.com. Archived from the original on 2 April 2015. Retrieved 6 March 2015.
  2. ^ "What is greater fool theory? definition and meaning". Businessdictionary.com. Archived from the original on 23 December 2007. Retrieved 6 March 2015.
  3. ^ Fox, Justin (11 June 2001). "When Bubbles Burst Tulips. Dot-coms. Hey, manias happen. But most don't lead to economic disaster. - June 11, 2001". CNN. Retrieved 6 March 2015.
  4. ^ Bogan, Vicki. "The Greater Fool Theory: What is it?" (PDF).