Policy uncertainty

Policy uncertainty (also called regime uncertainty) is a class of economic risk where the future path of government policy is uncertain, raising risk premia and leading businesses and individuals to delay spending and investment until this uncertainty has been resolved.[1] Policy uncertainty may refer to uncertainty about monetary or fiscal policy, the tax or regulatory regime, or uncertainty over electoral outcomes that will influence political leadership.

  1. ^ Baker, Scott; Bloom, Nick; Davis, Steven (2011). "Measuring Policy Uncertainty?" (PDF). Stanford Mimeo.