Politics of Michigan

United States presidential election results for Michigan[1]
Year Republican / Whig Democratic Third party(ies)
No.  % No.  % No.  %
2024 2,804,647 49.74% 2,724,029 48.31% 110,025 1.95%
2020 2,649,864 47.77% 2,804,045 50.55% 93,277 1.68%
2016 2,279,543 47.25% 2,268,839 47.03% 276,160 5.72%
2012 2,115,256 44.58% 2,564,569 54.04% 65,491 1.38%
2008 2,048,639 40.89% 2,872,579 57.33% 89,388 1.78%
2004 2,313,746 47.81% 2,479,183 51.23% 46,323 0.96%
2000 1,953,139 46.14% 2,170,418 51.28% 109,154 2.58%
1996 1,481,212 38.48% 1,989,653 51.69% 377,979 9.82%
1992 1,554,940 36.38% 1,871,182 43.77% 848,551 19.85%
1988 1,965,486 53.57% 1,675,783 45.67% 27,894 0.76%
1984 2,251,571 59.23% 1,529,638 40.24% 20,449 0.54%
1980 1,915,225 48.99% 1,661,532 42.50% 332,968 8.52%
1976 1,893,742 51.83% 1,696,714 46.44% 63,293 1.73%
1972 1,961,721 56.20% 1,459,435 41.81% 69,169 1.98%
1968 1,370,665 41.46% 1,593,082 48.18% 342,503 10.36%
1964 1,060,152 33.10% 2,136,615 66.70% 6,335 0.20%
1960 1,620,428 48.84% 1,687,269 50.85% 10,400 0.31%
1956 1,713,647 55.63% 1,359,898 44.15% 6,923 0.22%
1952 1,551,529 55.44% 1,230,657 43.97% 16,406 0.59%
1948 1,038,595 49.23% 1,003,448 47.57% 67,566 3.20%
1944 1,084,423 49.18% 1,106,899 50.19% 13,901 0.63%
1940 1,039,917 49.85% 1,032,991 49.52% 13,021 0.62%
1936 699,733 38.76% 1,016,794 56.33% 88,571 4.91%
1932 739,894 44.44% 871,700 52.36% 53,171 3.19%
1928 965,396 70.36% 396,762 28.92% 9,924 0.72%
1924 874,631 75.37% 152,359 13.13% 133,429 11.50%
1920 762,865 72.76% 233,450 22.27% 52,096 4.97%
1916 339,097 52.09% 286,775 44.05% 25,101 3.86%
1912 152,244 27.63% 150,751 27.36% 247,981 45.01%
1908 335,580 61.93% 175,771 32.44% 30,479 5.63%
1904 364,957 69.51% 135,392 25.79% 24,678 4.70%
1900 316,269 58.10% 211,685 38.89% 16,425 3.02%
1896 293,336 53.77% 237,166 43.47% 15,083 2.76%
1892 222,708 47.79% 201,624 43.26% 41,713 8.95%
1888 236,387 49.73% 213,469 44.91% 25,500 5.36%
1884 192,669 48.02% 189,361 47.20% 19,156 4.77%
1880 185,335 52.49% 131,597 37.27% 36,147 10.24%
1876 166,901 52.41% 141,685 44.49% 9,864 3.10%
1872 138,758 62.66% 78,551 35.47% 4,146 1.87%
1868 128,560 56.98% 97,060 43.02% 0 0.00%
1864 79,149 53.60% 68,513 46.40% 0 0.00%
1860 88,450 57.23% 64,889 41.99% 1,210 0.78%
1856 71,762 57.15% 52,139 41.52% 1,660 1.32%
1852 33,860 40.83% 41,842 50.45% 7,237 8.73%
1848 23,947 36.80% 30,742 47.24% 10,393 15.97%
1844 24,375 43.72% 27,737 49.75% 3,639 6.53%
1840 22,933 51.71% 21,096 47.57% 321 0.72%
1836 5,545 43.78% 7,122 56.22% 0 0.00%

The politics of Michigan, a competitive state that leans Democratic in presidential elections, are divided. Until 2016, Michigan was considered part of the Democrats' "Blue Wall."[2] Governors since the 1970s have alternated between the two parties, and statewide offices including attorney general, secretary of state, and senator have been held by members of both parties in varying proportions, though the state currently is represented by two Democratic U.S. Senators and Democrats hold every statewide office. The Democratic Party has the minimum majority of two seats in both the Senate and the House of Representatives in the Michigan Legislature. The state's congressional delegation is commonly split, with one party or the other typically holding a narrow majority: Democrats currently have a 7-6 majority, while there will be a 7-6 Republican majority in the upcoming 119th Congress beginning in January 2025.

The state has historically been a bellwether, having voted for the national winner all but six times since 1920, with the exceptions of 1940, 1948, 1968, 1976, 2000, and 2004. It currently has the longest active bellwether streak, tied with Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, going back to the 2008 election. Prior to being a swing state, it was a Republican stronghold, voting Republican all but once from the founding of the GOP in 1854 until 1928, with the lone exception being a Progressive victory in 1912.[3]

Republican strongholds of the state include the rural areas in Western and Northern Michigan, the Upper Peninsula, Livingston County, and (historically) the outer suburbs of Grand Rapids, although redistricting after the 2020 census and shifting demographics has led many political observers to call the Grand Rapids suburbs a "toss-up" in future elections.[4] Areas of Democratic strength include the cities of Detroit, Ann Arbor, Lansing, Flint, Kalamazoo, Grand Rapids, and Muskegon, as well as many of those cities' inner ring suburbs (all major urban centers). Much of suburban Detroit—which includes parts of Oakland, Macomb, and Wayne counties—is politically competitive between the two parties.

  1. ^ Leip, David. "Presidential General Election Results Comparison – Michigan". US Election Atlas. Retrieved October 24, 2022.
  2. ^ Peters, Jeremy W. (2020-11-10). "Where the 'Blue Wall' Was Strongest, and Where Cracks Appeared". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 2022-02-14.
  3. ^ "Michigan Presidential Election Voting History - 270toWin".
  4. ^ "Newly drawn congressional district in West Michigan moves from conservative-leaning to 'toss up'". mlive. 2021-12-30. Retrieved 2022-06-09.