Post-election pendulum for the 1992 Victorian state election

The following is a Mackerras pendulum for the 1992 Victorian state election.

"Very safe" seats require a swing of over 20 per cent to change, "safe" seats require a swing of 10 to 20 per cent to change, "fairly safe" seats require a swing of between 6 and 10 per cent, while "marginal" seats require a swing of less than 6 per cent.

Liberal/National seats
Marginal
Frankston East Peter McLellan LIB 0.2%
Geelong Ann Henderson LIB 0.7%
Bendigo West Max Turner LIB 1.1%
Essendon Ian Davis LIB 1.2%
Tullamarine Bernie Finn LIB 1.5%
Ballarat East Barry Traynor LIB 1.6%
Ballarat West Paul Jenkins LIB 2.7%
Oakleigh Denise McGill LIB 2.9%
Ivanhoe Vin Heffernan LIB 4.3%
Cranbourne Gary Rowe LIB 4.7%
Monbulk Steve McArthur LIB 5.3%
Narracan John Delzoppo LIB 5.4%
Fairly safe
Knox Hurtle Lupton LIB 6.1%
Berwick Robert Dean LIB 7.0%
Ripon Steve Elder LIB 7.1%
Bayswater Gordon Ashley LIB 7.1%
Mordialloc Geoff Leigh LIB 7.3%
Prahran Don Hayward LIB 7.8%
Bellarine Garry Spry LIB 7.9%
Bentleigh Inga Peulich LIB 8.2%
Mitcham Roger Pescott LIB 8.5%
Bendigo East Michael John LIB 9.1%
Burwood Jeff Kennett LIB 9.3%
Safe
Eltham Wayne Philips LIB 10.0%
Mooroolbark Lorraine Elliott LIB 10.1%
South Barwon Alister Paterson LIB 10.8%
Seymour Marie Tehan LIB 11.0%
Bennettswood Geoff Coleman LIB 11.8%
Dromana Tony Hyams LIB 12.0%
Gisborne Tom Reynolds LIB 12.9%
Mornington Robin Cooper LIB 12.9%
Box Hill Robert Clark LIB 13.2%
Caulfield Ted Tanner LIB 13.9%
Wantirna Kim Wells LIB 14.1%
Pakenham Rob Maclellan LIB 14.4%
Benambra Tony Plowman LIB 14.7%
Evelyn Jim Plowman LIB 15.2%
Forest Hill John Richardson LIB 15.3%
Polwarth Ian Smith LIB 15.8%
Warrandyte Phil Honeywood LIB 16.7%
Portland Denis Napthine LIB 17.1%
Frankston Graeme Weideman LIB 17.5%
Gippsland West Alan Brown LIB 17.9%
Doncaster Victor Perton LIB 18.1%
Bulleen David Perrin LIB 18.2%
Hawthorn Phil Gude LIB 18.4%
Glen Waverley Ross Smith LIB 19.5%
Shepparton Don Kilgour NAT 19.5%
Sandringham Murray Thompson LIB 19.9%
Very safe
Benalla Pat McNamara NAT 20.8%
Mildura Craig Bildstien LIB 20.9%
Kew Jan Wade LIB 21.5%
Malvern Robert Doyle LIB 22.5%
Brighton Alan Stockdale LIB 22.8%
Gippsland East David Treasure NAT 23.4%
Gippsland South Peter Ryan NAT 23.9%
Murray Valley Ken Jasper NAT 24.0%
Warrnambool John McGrath NAT 25.8%
Rodney Noel Maughan NAT 26.0%
Swan Hill Barry Steggall NAT 29.4%
Wimmera Bill McGrath NAT 29.6%
Labor seats
Marginal
Dandenong North Jan Wilson ALP 0.1%
Carrum Mal Sandon ALP 0.9%
Bundoora Sherryl Garbutt ALP 1.1%
Yan Yean Andre Haermeyer ALP 1.9%
Dandenong John Pandazopoulos ALP 3.1%
Niddrie Bob Sercombe[4] ALP 3.6%
Morwell Keith Hamilton ALP 4.0%
Albert Park John Thwaites ALP 5.8%
Fairly safe
Pascoe Vale Kelvin Thomson[4] ALP 8.0%
Springvale Eddie Micallef ALP 8.0%
Werribee Ken Coghill ALP 8.3%
Clayton Gerard Vaughan ALP 8.4%
Keilor George Seitz ALP 8.9%
Geelong North Peter Loney ALP 9.6%
Safe
Melton David Cunningham ALP 10.0%
Altona Carole Marple ALP 10.9%
Williamstown Steve Bracks[3] ALP 11.0%
Coburg Tom Roper[2] ALP 11.2%
Melbourne Neil Cole ALP 12.1%
Mill Park Alex Andrianopoulos ALP 12.3%
Richmond Demetri Dollis ALP 13.3%
Sunshine Ian Baker ALP 13.3%
Williamstown Joan Kirner[3] ALP 14.2%
Northcote Tony Sheehan ALP 15.2%
Footscray Bruce Mildenhall ALP 16.2%
Preston Michael Leighton ALP 16.2%
Coburg Carlo Carli[2] ALP 16.3%
Broadmeadows John Brumby[1] ALP 16.8% (primary)
Broadmeadows Jim Kennan[1] ALP 19.4%
Very safe
Thomastown Peter Batchelor ALP 20.0%
Niddrie Rob Hulls[4] ALP Unopp