Thomas Bayes

The Reverend
Thomas Bayes
The only known portrait that is possibly of Bayes from a 1936 book,[1] but it is doubtful whether the portrait is actually of him.[2][3]
Bornc. 1701
London, England
Died7 April 1761(1761-04-07) (aged 59)
Royal Tunbridge Wells, England
Alma materUniversity of Edinburgh
Known forBayesian statistics
Bayes' theorem
Conditional probability
Inverse probability
Bayes prior
Bayes factor
Bayesian inference
See full list
Scientific career
FieldsProbability
Signature

Thomas Bayes (/beɪz/ BAYZ audioⓘ; c. 1701 – 7 April 1761[2][4][note 1]) was an English statistician, philosopher and Presbyterian minister who is known for formulating a specific case of the theorem that bears his name: Bayes' theorem. Bayes never published what would become his most famous accomplishment; his notes were edited and published posthumously by Richard Price.[5]

  1. ^ Terence O'Donnell, History of Life Insurance in Its Formative Years (Chicago: American Conservation Co:, 1936), p. 335 (caption "Rev. T. Bayes: Improver of the Columnar Method developed by Barrett.")
  2. ^ a b Bayes's portrait The IMS Bulletin, Vol. 17 (1988), No. 3, pp. 276–278.
  3. ^ Bellhouse, D. R. (1 February 2004). "The Reverend Thomas Bayes, FRS: A Biography to Celebrate the Tercentenary of His Birth". Statistical Science. 19 (1): 3. Bibcode:2004StaSc..19....3B. doi:10.1214/088342304000000189. ISSN 0883-4237.
  4. ^ Belhouse, D.R. The Reverend Thomas Bayes FRS: a Biography to Celebrate the Tercentenary of his Birth Archived 5 March 2016 at the Wayback Machine.
  5. ^ McGrayne, Sharon Bertsch. (2011). The Theory That Would Not Die p. 10., p. 10, at Google Books


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